2025年第30周（7月21日-27日），据湖南省商务厅对全省生产资料流通市场监测数据显示，与前一周比（以下皆同），所监测的品种样本销售均价稳中有涨，监测样本大类（周环比）呈5涨1跌1平态势。其中，钢材、化肥、水泥、有色金属、化工产品市场销售均价小幅上涨，成品油微跌，煤炭持平。而监测样本大类各品种销售均价（周同比）除有色金属上涨外，其它均呈跌势。具体监测情况如下：

　　一、钢材市场销售均价连续四周累计上涨4.5%

　　本周全省钢材销售均价3655.68元/吨，上涨3.2%，同比下跌4.3%。分品种看，建筑钢材销售均价3561.64元/吨，上涨3.3%，同比下跌1.4%；板材销售均价3676.81元/吨，上涨3%，同比下跌4.6%；管材销售均价3798元/吨，上涨2.8%，同比下跌9.5%；大中型材销售均价3659.17元/吨，上涨3.8%，同比下跌3.6%。

　　全省钢材市场销售均价连续四周上涨，累计涨幅4.5%。本周主要钢材品种成交量小幅增长，均超去年同期水平，钢厂高炉、电炉产能开工率均继续小幅提升，原燃料价格上涨幅度较大。

　　进入七月以来，全省钢材市场呈现稳中上扬行情，本周上涨幅度明显增大，市场成交活跃，看涨气氛较浓。近期钢价持续上涨的核心驱动力主要是受一系列宏观利好和反内卷政策的推动，市场情绪好转。另外，钢厂纷纷上调出厂价格，成本端支撑坚挺，对钢价的撑持作用明显增强。再者，钢材市场暂无明显累库现象出现，市场供需关系总体平衡。种种迹象表明，钢铁行业在压抑较长时间之后，经过反复波动震荡寻底，向上阶段性突破的意愿较强。

　　展望后市，随着钢价持续上行，将进一步刺激钢铁行业产能的释放，钢厂产量将由降转增，钢材市场也将等待有效需求与价格上涨的温和协同。预计下周全省钢材市场销售均价将震荡窄幅回落。

　　二、煤炭市场销售均价持平

　　本周全省煤炭销售均价1009.33元/吨，持平，同比下跌4.3%。分品种看，无烟煤销售均价1255元/吨，持平，同比下跌9%；烟煤销售均价886.5元/吨，持平，同比下跌0.7%。

　　2025年上半年受“高供应、高库存、弱需求”影响，全省煤炭市场销售均价高位回落，5月跌至五年来的低位区域，6、7月受煤炭行业季节性旺季及政策调控多管齐下双重影响，一度持续下行的煤价有所企稳，煤炭需求稳中有增。

　　本周全省煤炭市场维持偏强走势，迎峰度夏用煤高峰叠加经济增长趋势向好，共同拉动电煤需求快速上升。非电煤方面，钢厂补库采购量呈增长态势。

　　临近月底，完成7月生产任务的部分煤矿停产安检，叠加产煤大省超产政策监管升级、环保安监趋严以及进口煤补充作用减弱等，煤炭供应将存在阶段性收紧可能。当前全省电力负荷持续维持高位，煤炭终端拉运需求将较好，需求端支撑力度改善，叠加政策助力，预计下周全省煤炭市场销售均价将继续保持稳中偏强态势运行。

　　三、成品油市场批零销售均价分别下跌0.6%和0.3%

　　本周全省成品油批发销售均价8384.58元/吨，下跌0.6%，同比下跌9.5%，零售销售均价7.27元/升，下跌0.3%，同比下跌10.5%。分品种看，汽油批零均价分别为8858.45元/吨和7.42元/升，分别下跌0.8%和0.3%，同比分别下跌9.8%和10.3%；柴油批零均价分别为7436.84元/吨和6.97元/升，均下跌0.3%，同比分别下跌9%和10.9%。

　　受成品油指导价格下调影响，本周全省成品油市场批零销售均价继续下行。

　　今年以来，国际原油价格走势震荡下行，成本端对国内成品油市场撑持力度减弱，成品油批零价格跌多涨少。当前随着主营炼厂集中检修季结束，炼厂整体开工率稳步回升，成品油供应量较为宽松。传统旺季提振燃油需求，成品油需求季节性利好延续，但长期来看新能源汽车冲击不断增强，将抑制成品油消费总量。国际市场上，OPEC+将在8月初举行新一轮会议，预计9月仍将维持较大增产力度，因此国际原油价格仍存下跌空间。预计下周全省成品油批零销售均价将继续维持弱稳态势运行。

　　四、化肥市场销售均价上涨0.7%

　　本周全省化肥销售均价2598.82元/吨，上涨0.7%，同比下跌8.6%。分品种看，氮肥销售均价2223.76元/吨，上涨1.2%，同比下跌17.9%；三元复合肥销售均价2973.87元/吨，上涨0.3%，同比下跌0.2%。

　　本周全省化肥市场销售均价结束连续五周缓慢下跌后微涨，下游采购意愿改善，市场交投氛围提升，厂家以挺价为主。

　　供应方面，部分肥企装置检修，日均产量有所下降，但市场供应依旧充裕。需求方面，秋季备肥情况有所改善，但缺乏夯实的利好推动，从而限制了肥价上行空间。预计下周全省化肥市场销售均价仍将继续呈震荡偏强态势窄幅运行。                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     

五、水泥市场销售均价上涨0.9%

本周全省水泥销售均价280.36元/吨，上涨0.9%，同比下跌9%。分品种看，普通硅酸盐水泥销售均价为282.71元/吨，上涨0.7%，同比下跌5.7%；复合硅酸盐水泥销售均价为278元/吨，上涨1.2%，同比下跌12.2%。

本周全省水泥市场销售均价由跌转涨。水泥行业错峰生产以及雅江水电工程重大基建项目开工，为水泥市场注入活力，推动水泥市场进入阶段性修复期。

目前湖南省在售的水泥主要包括海螺水泥、华新水泥、南方水泥、中材水泥、华新堡垒等水泥品牌，据调研，上述企业7月均严格实施错峰生产，行业自律性不断增强。总之，在水泥行业基本面有所改善的背景下，预计下周全省水泥市场销售均价将继续呈震荡偏强态势运行。